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Decoding the Beauty Market: Separating Hype from Trend
Prepared by:
Noa Shachaff
Head of Consumer Insights & Analytics, Revuze
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Introduction
In the quickly evolving beauty industry, both trends and hypes play a pivotal role in shaping consumer behavior, driving product innovation, and determining market success.
This report delves into the data to distinguish between short-lived hypes and longer-lasting trends within key beauty categories. By analyzing 1.9 million reviews across major e-commerce platforms from September 2023 to August 2024, it sheds light on consumer preferences in the Face, Eye, Lip, and Nail product categories.
With trends driving consistent growth and hypes offering bursts of excitement, understanding the difference between the two is crucial for brands seeking to innovate and capture the attention of beauty consumers.
This report reveals how some categories, like Jelly Lip and Butter Lip products, continue to expand, while others, like Putty Primers, may be fleeting hypes that risk losing momentum
The Revuze Hype/Trend Measuring System
Revuze takes a data-driven approach to differentiate between hypes and trends in the beauty industry. We evaluate several key variables to understand whether a product or category is experiencing a temporary spike or a lasting movement.
First, we look at the number of reviews the product set has garnered, as well as the growth of reviews over the last 12 months and the last 6 months. A steady upward trajectory suggests a developing trend, while a sudden surge could indicate short-term hype.
We also pay close attention to the percentage of incentivized reviews — those where consumers have received something in return for their feedback. By isolating non-incentivized reviews, we can better gauge authentic consumer sentiment. The tone of these reviews is critical, as overwhelmingly positive or negative sentiments can offer insight into long-term viability.
Lastly, we monitor the number of brands joining the buzz. A growing number of competitors entering the space can signal a broader industry shift, pointing to a trend rather than a fleeting moment.
Baseline
To deepen our analysis, we don’t just look at review volume growth and incentivized review levels in isolation. It’s crucial to benchmark the surge in consumer interest for a product group, against the average growth rate of the segment, as well as the average percentage of incentivized reviews in this segment.
When a product group shows significantly higher growth than this baseline, it often signals the emergence of a budding hype. Similarly, lower levels of incentivized reviews paired with positive sentiment can indicate authentic consumer enthusiasm, a strong sign that the hype is turning into a sustainable trend.
Hype or Trend? Jelly Lip/Face Products
The jelly lip and tint trend reflects a shift toward lighter, more natural beauty products in the cosmetics industry.
These products combine the benefits of a lip stain and gloss, offering a sheer wash of color with a subtle sheen. What sets them apart is their unique gel-like texture, which provides a lightweight feel and comfortable wear.
Discussion Share and Sentiment
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The Jelly Trend
Between September ‘23 and August ‘24, 12,853 reviews were collected for Jelly Lip and Face products, up 150% vs. the prior year.
Three brands are currently pushing this trend forward:
Revlon (30% share),
Tower 28 Beauty (14% share)
Milk Makeup (12% share),
resulting in 36% incentivized review levels and 76% sentiment for organic (unsolicited) reviews.
When considering the moderate to high review volume increases in 2024, benchmark level incentivized reviews share and on-par organic review sentiments, it looks like the Jelly Face and Lip products are emerging as a budding trend that is far from realizing its full potential.
Discussion Share and Sentiment
Hype or Trend? Putty Primers
Putty primers have gained attention in the beauty industry for their unique texture and skin-smoothing capabilities.
Unlike traditional primers, putty primers are thicker and provide a pore-filling, mattifying effect that creates a flawless base for makeup application.
Discussion Share and Sentiment Putty
The Putty Primer Hype
Between September ‘23 and August ‘24, 13,951 reviews were collected for Putty Primer, up 243% vs. the prior year.
One brand is currently pushing this hype forward, E.L.F., resulting in 80% incentivized review levels and 79% sentiment for organic (unsolicited) reviews.
When considering the highly volatile and erratic review volume fluctuations, way above benchmark level incentivized reviews share and absence of additional players other than E.L.F. joining this space, it looks like the Putty Primer is emerging as nothing but a ‘hype’ at this point.
Hype or Trend? Brow Lamination Products
Brow laminating is a beauty hype is focused on creating fuller, more defined brows by restructuring the brow hairs. The process involves applying a chemical solution to the brows to lift and set the hairs in place, giving them a smooth, brushed-up appearance.
This technique offers a semi-permanent solution for those looking to achieve a more polished look without daily maintenance.
The Brow Lamination Hype
Between September ‘23 and August ‘24, 20,371 reviews were collected for Brow Lamination products, up 207% vs. the prior year.
Seven brands are currently pushing this agenda forward:
Anastasia Beverly Hills (16% share),
Benefit Cosmetics (13%)
Mac Cosmetics (5%)
Urban Decay (5%)
E.L.F. (5%),
resulting in 59% incentivized review levels and 75% sentiment for organic (unsolicited) reviews (above benchmark).
When considering a slowing down of review volume growth in recent months – despite above benchmark levels of incentivized reviews, it looks like the Brow Laminating hype is struggling to keep the momentum going, perhaps due to product quality issues (‘white cast’ and ‘dandruff’).
Hype or Trend? Baking Powders/Foundations
The ‘Baking’ technique, involves applying a thick layer of translucent powder over foundation or concealer, letting it set (“bake”) for several minutes, then brushing it off.
This method creates a long-lasting, crease-free, and matte finish, making it ideal for those seeking a smooth, professional look that holds up throughout the day.
The Baking Hype
Between September ‘23 and August ‘24, 49,212 reviews were collected for Baking Foundations and Powders, up 244% vs. the prior year.
Two brands are currently pushing this agenda forward:
Laura Geller with (63% review share),
Huda Beauty (with 87% incentivized reviews),
resulting in 68% sentiment for organic (unsolicited) reviews (way below benchmark).
When considering the ‘way above benchmark’ incentivized reviews levels, and below average organic review sentiments, it looks like consumer interest in the Baking Powder/Foundation agenda is driven by a well executed hype, pushed forward by brands that are struggling to satisfy their audience and to find additional joiners.
Hype or Trend? Butter Lip Products
Butters such as shea, cocoa, and mango have been increasingly incorporated in lip products for their deep hydration and smooth application.
The Butter Lip Trend
Between September ‘23 and August ‘24, 27,726 reviews were collected for Butter Lip products, up 120% vs. the prior year.
Three brands are currently pushing this agenda forward:
Summer Fridays (31% share of reviews),
Lancome (15%)
NYX Professional (9%)
resulting in 37% incentivized review levels (on par with benchmark) and 80% sentiment for organic (unsolicited) reviews (above benchmark).
When considering the steadily high review volume growth in 2024, benchmark level incentivized reviews share and above average organic review sentiments, it looks like the Butter Lip Trend is far from realizing its full potential.
Hype or Trend? Lip Stain Products
The peel-off lip stain trend has surged in popularity for its ability to provide long-lasting, smudge-proof color.
This technique involves applying a gel that dries on the lips and is then peeled off, leaving behind a vibrant, natural-looking tint.
The Lip Stain Trend
Between September ‘23 and August ‘24, 17,900 reviews were collected for Lip Stain products, up 32% vs. the prior year.
Nine brands are currently pushing this agenda forward including:
Wonderskin (12% share of reviews),
E.L.F. (11%)
Sacheu (7%),
with minimal incentivized review levels of just 14% vs. 33% on average.
That said, sentiment for organic (unsolicited) reviews is low at 63% vs. 76% on average. Suggesting that hype is not always justified.
When considering the moderate to low review volume growth in 2024, the multitude of players entering the space, and below benchmark incentivized reviews levels, it looks like the Lip Stain Trend has reached its maturity.
Hype or Trend? Lip Oil Products
The trend of lip oil products has surged due to their hydrating, non-sticky formula that combines the benefits of skincare and makeup.
They nourish lips with essential oils, while providing a subtle tint and glossy finish, making them perfect for everyday use.
Lip Oil Products
Between September ‘23 and August ‘24, 50,729 reviews were collected for Lip Oil products, up 88% vs. the prior year.
Nine brands are currently pushing this agenda forward including:
NYX (9% share of reviews),
E.L.F. (9%)
Clarins (9%),
with slightly below average incentivized review levels of just 29% vs. 33%, and a 74% sentiment for organic (unsolicited) reviews (on par with average).
When considering the steady review volume increases in 2024, the multitude of players entering the space, and below benchmark level incentivized reviews share, it looks like the Lip Oil Trend is still going strong, but is poised to reach its maturity stage in the next six months.
Hype or Trend? Lash Clusters
The Lash Cluster trend focuses on customizable, natural-looking lash enhancements.
Lash clusters are small groups of lashes applied individually, allowing control over volume and length.
The Lash Cluster Trend
Between September ‘23 and August ‘24, 34,820 reviews were collected for Lash Cluster products, up 88% vs. the prior year.
Twelve smaller and lesser known brands are currently pushing this agenda forward, with below average incentivized review levels of just 13% vs. 33%, and a below average organic (unsolicited) review sentiment of 63% vs. an average of 76%.
When considering the volume increases which reach a plateau in the second half of 2024, the multitude players in the space, and below benchmark incentivized reviews levels, it looks like the Lash Cluster trend is a hair breadth away from reaching its maturity.
Conclusion
This report offers invaluable insights for brands navigating the ever-fluctuating beauty market. By understanding the lifecycle of products— whether emerging trends or short-lived hypes— companies can make more strategic decisions in product development, ecommerce, branding and marketing. As beauty consumers continue to demand innovation and authenticity, brands that align their strategies with lasting trends will be better positioned for long-term success.
Brands that can identify and capitalize on long-lasting trends while navigating short-term hypes will be best positioned to meet consumer demands and innovate effectively in this competitive industry
About Revuze
Revuze is at the forefront of delivering cutting-edge AI-powered, actionable consumer insights and VoC solutions, revolutionizing how businesses leverage data to drive success in the digital landscape.
As the only solution providing brand and category-level, verified buyer data, Revuze helps truth-driven organizations transform online feedback across all sources into true, actionable insights to make informed data-supported decisions and lead categories.
Key Objectives
Industry
Cosmetics
Sources
Amazon, Sephora, Ulta, Target, Walmart, and Macy's
Time Period
September 2023-August 2024
Voice of Customer Data Points
1.9 M
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